MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 22:47:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 at 8am UK
AAMI Park
Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Wellington

Souprayen (58')
Jeggo (15'), Souprayen (72'), Nabbout (79'), Jakolis (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Salas (34'), Barbarouses (70'), Rufer (82')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Melbourne City
Friday, March 1 at 9.28am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 3-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, March 3 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
54.98% (0.51499999999999 0.51) 21.23% (0.032 0.03) 23.78% (-0.556 -0.56)
Both teams to score 63.3% (-0.829 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.05% (-0.789 -0.79)34.95% (0.781 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.07% (-0.884 -0.88)56.93% (0.877 0.88)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)12.8% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (-0.226 -0.23)39.11% (0.219 0.22)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.86 -0.86)27.4% (0.852 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (-1.124 -1.12)62.88% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 54.98%
    Wellington Phoenix 23.78%
    Draw 21.23%
Melbourne CityDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.232 0.23)
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 4.26% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.98%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 23.78%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3.30am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Kraev (48')
Kraev (72')

Good (68')
Apr 10, 2023 7am
Gameweek 23
Melbourne City
4-1
Wellington
MacLaren (34', 52'), Tilio (57', 83')
Ugarkovic (49')
Jan 2, 2023 2am
Gameweek 10
Wellington
1-3
Melbourne City
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
MacLaren (16' pen.), Tilio (34')
Sutton (79'), Barbarouses (90')
May 9, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 21
Melbourne City
2-1
Wellington
Sutton (3' og.), MacLaren (10')
Nabbout (30'), Tilio (54'), MacLaren (56'), Jenkinson (83')
Waine (54')
Piscopo (81'), Waine (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!