Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.