We said: Sudan 1-2 Togo
While Sudan have experienced an uptick in results since their poor AFCON qualification campaign, there has been very little consistency in the starting 11, which could prove costly for them in this competition. Togo, on the other hand, seem fairly settled, especially in attacking positions, and we feel they will get off to a winning start in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.