MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 20:09:06| >> :600:1548210:1548210:
Watford logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Plymouth Argyle

Watford
2 - 0
Plymouth

Rajovic (17', 73')
Morris (41'), Dele-Bashiru (45'), Tikvic (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Houghton (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Derby
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth have proven they are capable of being resilient defensively, but they could struggle on Tuesday given the energy exerted in their valiant draw against QPR. Watford will also be full of confidence after winning all four of their competitive games in 2024-25, and they should be favourites against Rooney's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
53.55% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 22.59% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.85% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.64% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.75% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.44% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.7% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)44.29% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85%67.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.55%
    Plymouth Argyle 23.85%
    Draw 22.58%
WatfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.55%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 5.75%
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 23.85%

How you voted: Watford vs Plymouth

Watford
82.6%
Draw
4.3%
Plymouth Argyle
13.0%
92
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Plymouth
3-3
Watford
Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
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