Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Barnet |
29.35% ( -0.05) | 25.5% ( 0.02) | 45.15% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.07% ( -0.11) | 49.93% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% ( -0.1) | 71.91% ( 0.1) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% ( -0.1) | 31.13% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.54% ( -0.11) | 67.46% ( 0.11) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% ( -0.03) | 22.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% ( -0.05) | 55.44% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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