Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.83%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 29.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.4%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.