We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Birmingham City Women
Following a dominant performance against Reading and after defeat in the reverse fixture, Arsenal are expected to respond in a professional manner and claim their revenge on the bottom side.
The Gunners are hitting a winning run at a good time in the season to close in on the finish, and there is little Birmingham will be able to do to stop the league leaders on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 93.1%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.1%) and 2-0 (11.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.52%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
