MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 09:57:38| >> :600:477251:477251:
Burton Albion
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Leicester logo

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Leicester

FT(HT: 0-2)
Iheanacho (6'), Ndidi (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Burton Albion and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burton Albion 0-3 Leicester City

Leicester are bound to rotate heavily on Wednesday, but they certainly have the strength in depth to comfortably get past Burton Albion, especially with the likes of Iheanacho and Daka fighting to earn their new manager's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.18%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City
21.2% (1.707 1.71) 20.61% (1.08 1.08) 58.18% (-2.79 -2.79)
Both teams to score 61.89% (-1.159 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (-2.749 -2.75)35.2% (2.746 2.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (-3.122 -3.12)57.21% (3.118 3.12)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.69% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)65.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-1.578 -1.58)11.97% (1.574 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.62% (-3.454 -3.45)37.37% (3.45 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 21.2%
    Leicester City 58.18%
    Draw 20.61%
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 5.56% (0.404 0.4)
1-0 @ 4.32% (0.569 0.57)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 21.2%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.679 0.68)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.473 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.57 0.57)
1-3 @ 6.88% (-0.364 -0.36)
0-3 @ 5.67% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-3 @ 4.18% (-0.228 -0.23)
1-4 @ 3.65% (-0.449 -0.45)
0-4 @ 3.01% (-0.364 -0.36)
2-4 @ 2.22% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-5 @ 1.55% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-5 @ 0.94% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 58.18%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Leicester

Burton Albion
8.9%
Draw
11.1%
Leicester City
80.0%
45
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
0-0
Leicester
Burton Albion win 3-1 on penalties
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
2-1
Leicester
Akpan (17'), Akins (29')
Maguire (66')
Jul 28, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Burton Albion
1-2
Leicester
Duffy (90')
Vardy (65', 72')
Jan 5, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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