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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Union Berlin logo

Bayern
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Guerreiro (46')
Sane (74'), Kane (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Behrens (48'), Haberer (90+5'), Vogt (90+5'), Leite (90+5')
Bjelica (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin

Despite firing blanks on Wednesday, Bayern should return to winning ways in the league against Union, stopping the Iron Ones' two-game run in all competitions without losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 6.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
81.33% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 12.07% (-0.016 -0.02) 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.33% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.78% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)5.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.54% (0.027999999999992 0.03)21.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)47.96% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)83.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.31%
    Union Berlin 6.6%
    Draw 12.07%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.09%
3-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.88%
4-0 @ 7.78% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.1%
6-1 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 81.31%
1-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 12.07%
1-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.6%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
81.5%
Draw
10.5%
Union Berlin
8.1%
124
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Becker (12')
Khedira (87')
Kimmich (15')
Kimmich (26'), Gravenberch (72')
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Union Berlin
Musiala (68')
Sarr (76'), Kouassi (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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