Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Burundi0 - 2Burkina Faso
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Burundi
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Burundi
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Burundi 1-3 Burkina Faso
While Burundi gave Burkina Faso a major scare with that early goal last week, the Stallions were by far the better side once they got into their stride, and we are expecting them to secure another comfortable victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.16%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Burkina Faso |
16.55% ( 0.3) | 23.4% ( 0.11) | 60.04% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 44.52% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
