We said: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania
Cape Verde are slight favourites heading into this clash as a result of their home form and Mauritania's struggles this year - while the Blue Sharks lost woefully in their last game, the level of opposition they faced was on a different stratosphere, and is no indication of their quality as a team.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.