MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 23:06:26| >> :60:188:188:
Cyprus national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Makareio Stadio
Latvia national football team

Cyprus
1 - 1
Latvia

Pittas (34')
Mall (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cigaņiks (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Cyprus and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Cyprus 1-0 Lithuania
Sunday, November 19 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250
All competitions
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Latvia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143

We said: Cyprus 1-1 Latvia

Neither nation has shown much to get excited about over the past 12 months apart from one-off performances against fellow weak opponents recently. Both have attacking players playing at a decent level across Europe, but incoherent offensive play and defensive frailty is what will likely be on show in this underwhelming encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CyprusDrawLatvia
31.75% (-0.37 -0.37) 26.99% (-0.127 -0.13) 41.26% (0.492 0.49)
Both teams to score 50.12% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (0.381 0.38)55.01% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (0.311 0.31)76.28% (-0.315 -0.31)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)32.04% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)68.5% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.438 0.44)26.25% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.585 0.59)61.37% (-0.589 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 31.75%
    Latvia 41.25%
    Draw 26.99%
CyprusDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.75%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.25%

How you voted: Cyprus vs Latvia

Cyprus
54.8%
Draw
26.0%
Latvia
19.2%
73
rhs 2.0
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