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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
34.96% ( -0.27) | 22.92% ( 0.02) | 42.12% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 65.22% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.16% ( -0.16) | 35.84% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.07% ( -0.18) | 57.92% ( 0.18) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% ( -0.21) | 20.86% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% ( -0.33) | 53.55% ( 0.34) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.4% ( 0.05) | 17.59% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.83% ( 0.07) | 48.17% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.05% Total : 42.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 10 | 31 | 33 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
7 | Freiburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 2 |
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