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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Nov 27, 2023 at 12am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Houston
1 - 0
Kansas

Escobar (39')
Carrasquilla (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leibold (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-1 Salt Lake (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, November 11 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Sporting Kansas City (Sporting Kansas City advances on penalties)

Both teams exceeded expectations in the regular season, and they each have a solid midfield shape and match-winners that can make the difference up front. If the match is as close as we anticipate, it could come down to penalties, giving the visitors the edge as Tim Melia has won all seven shootouts that he has been a part of in his professional career.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Sporting Kansas City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
57.86% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.62% (0.223 0.22) 20.52% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-1.044 -1.04)40.95% (1.04 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65% (-1.075 -1.08)63.34% (1.071 1.07)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.08% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)13.92% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.64% (-0.811 -0.81)41.36% (0.808 0.81)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.607 -0.61)33.64% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.668 -0.67)70.29% (0.664 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 57.86%
    Sporting Kansas City 20.52%
    Draw 21.61%
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.298 0.3)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.218 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Houston vs Kansas

Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
21.4%
Sporting Kansas City
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Kansas
1-0
Houston
Walter (60')
Espinoza (83')

Ceren (55'), Quintero (86'), Vera (90+2')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 37
Kansas
4-2
Houston
Russell (16' pen., 90'), Salloi (26'), Kinda (57')
Zusi (85')
Picault (51'), Quintero (76')
Junqua (16'), Hadebe (27'), Vera (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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