We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Real Salt Lake
With both teams level on 43 points, we expect Wednesday's clash to produce a closely-fought contest, but we think that LAFC could use home advantage to claim a narrow victory, especially as they have won nine of their 12 home MLS matches this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.