Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.