Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
55.16% ( 0.52) | 21.8% ( -0.15) | 23.03% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 60.23% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.45% ( 0.29) | 38.55% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.15% ( 0.31) | 60.85% ( -0.31) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% ( 0.27) | 13.95% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.57% ( 0.52) | 41.43% ( -0.52) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% ( -0.15) | 30.01% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.87% ( -0.18) | 66.13% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.16% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 23.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |