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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
38.05% ( -0.04) | 27.14% ( 0.03) | 34.82% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.39% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% ( -0.11) | 54.99% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% ( -0.09) | 76.26% ( 0.09) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% ( -0.08) | 28.03% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.32% ( -0.1) | 63.68% ( 0.1) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.01% ( -0.05) | 29.99% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% ( -0.05) | 66.11% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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