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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Strasbourg

PSG
4 - 2
Strasbourg

Mayulu (18'), Asensio (47'), Barcola (66'), Kang-in (90')
Beraldo (61'), Skriniar (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mara (58'), Daouda Diongu (90+2')
Senaya (10'), Sow (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-1 PSG
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Strasbourg

Strasbourg have been one of the overachievers in the early weeks of the campaign, but their away form and record at PSG gives them little chance here. PSG have never lost in 33 previous home clashes with their upcoming opponents, and they are set to maintain their 100% home record so far this season, having already won four from four here in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
73.22% (0.47799999999999 0.48) 15.76% (-0.284 -0.28) 11.01% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (0.834 0.83)32.65% (-0.843 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (0.961 0.96)54.32% (-0.97 -0.97)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (0.29300000000001 0.29)7.68% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.6% (0.762 0.76)27.39% (-0.771 -0.77)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (0.236 0.24)40.52% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (0.214 0.21)77.12% (-0.223 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 73.22%
    Strasbourg 11.01%
    Draw 15.76%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.77% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 7.92% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 5.63% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.89% (0.088 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.61% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.066 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.056 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.051 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 73.22%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.76%
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.81% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 11.01%

How you voted: PSG vs Strasbourg

Paris Saint-Germain
82.5%
Draw
11.3%
Strasbourg
6.2%
97
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Strasbourg
1-2
PSG
Bakwa (68')
Sissoko (27'), Mwanga (54'), Senaya (63'), Vieira (77')
Mbappe (31'), Asensio (49')
Hernandez (30')
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
3-0
Strasbourg
Mbappe (10' pen.), Soler (31'), Ruiz (77')
Kang-in (82'), Ndour (88')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Strasbourg
1-1
PSG
Gameiro (79')
Diarra (23')
Messi (59')
Vitinha (6'), Verratti (75')
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
PSG
2-1
Strasbourg
Marquinhos (14'), Mbappe (90+6' pen.)
Marquinhos (51' og.)
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Strasbourg
3-3
PSG
Gameiro (3'), Verratti (75' og.), Caci (90+1')
Bellegarde (8'), Prcic (41'), Lienard (60')
Mbappe (23', 68'), Hakimi (64')
Neymar (73'), Kimpembe (90+2'), Donnarumma (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Dolphins
@
Packers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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