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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Rio Ave

Farense
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-0 Braga
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-2 Rio Ave

The last four meetings between Farense and Rio Ave has produced a combined 15 goals and we anticipate another end-to-end affair at the Estadio de Sao Luis this weekend. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
32.36% (-0.678 -0.68) 26.58% (-0.336 -0.34) 41.05% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (1.181 1.18)53.22% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.992 0.99)74.78% (-0.991 -0.99)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.142 0.14)30.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.166 0.17)66.96% (-0.164 -0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (1.089 1.09)25.54% (-1.087 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.463 1.46)60.41% (-1.459 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 32.36%
    Rio Ave 41.05%
    Draw 26.58%
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.105 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.05%

How you voted: Farense vs Rio Ave

SC Farense
28.9%
Draw
42.1%
Rio Ave
28.9%
38
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-4
Farense
Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')
Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
2-1
Farense
Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
Muscat (62')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
Oct 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farense
0-1
Rio Ave

Falcao (42'), Isidoro (63'), Mansilla (79'), Oudrhiri (83')
Mane (20')
Augusto (25'), Jeronimo (32'), Borevkovic (46'), Diego (79'), Pele (79'), Amaral (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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