Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Aug 18, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield1 - 0Instituto
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Instituto.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banfield 2-2 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 11 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 11 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Instituto 2-0 Platense
Sunday, August 11 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 11 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Instituto |
50.28% ( -0.08) | 27.7% ( -0.09) | 22.03% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.36% ( 0.38) | 62.63% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.8% ( 0.28) | 82.2% ( -0.28) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% ( 0.14) | 25.22% ( -0.14) |