Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
We said: Charlotte FC 1-2 Colorado Rapids
Colorado would have been relieved to secure their first win of the season last weekend, and after gaining confidence from their narrow victory against Sporting KC, we think that they will go on to claim all three points against a Charlotte side that have lost two of their opening three home games.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 46.12% . A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.49%) . The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood .
Result Charlotte FC Draw Colorado Rapids 46.12% ( 2.67) 24.49% ( 0.13) 29.38% ( -2.8)
Both teams to score 57% ( -1.93)
54.44% ( -1.88) 45.55% ( 1.87)
32.11% ( -1.82) 67.88% ( 1.81)
80.14% ( 0.38) 19.85% ( -0.39)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.05% ( 0.62) 51.95% ( -0.63)
71.12% ( -2.76) 28.88% ( 2.76)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.25% ( -3.57) 64.75% ( 3.56)
Charlotte FC 46.12%
Colorado Rapids 29.38%
Draw 24.49%
Charlotte FC Draw Colorado Rapids 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.75) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.12% 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.49% 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.3) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.38%
rhs 2.0
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