Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Apr 11, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Wellington3 - 2Western Utd
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
| 40.45% | 24.35% | 35.2% |
| Both teams to score 59.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
