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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lazio logo

Atalanta
3 - 1
Lazio

Pasalic (16'), De Ketelaere (43' pen., 76')
Pasalic (9'), Piero Gasperini (10'), Ederson (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Immobile (84' pen.)
Alberto (45+1'), Anderson (45'), Rovella (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Udinese
Saturday, January 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, January 28 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Lazio

 One goal could win this game, as two of Serie A's meanest defences in 2024 meet. Either a moment of magic or madness may prove decisive, with Atalanta's fine home record making them slim favourites to pull further clear of Lazio in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
61.56% (0.219 0.22) 22.04% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 16.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 48.12% (-0.49 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (-0.407 -0.41)49.14% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (-0.368 -0.37)71.21% (0.369 0.37)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)15.46% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (-0.121 -0.12)44.32% (0.122 0.12)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.535 -0.53)43.07% (0.534 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65% (-0.453 -0.45)79.35% (0.455 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 61.55%
    Lazio 16.4%
    Draw 22.04%
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.43% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 11.6% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.37% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.4%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lazio

Atalanta BC
57.3%
Draw
25.6%
Lazio
17.1%
117
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-2
Atalanta
De Ketelaere (5' og.), Castellanos (11'), Vecino (83')
Vecino (84')
Sarri (86')
Ederson (33'), Kolasinac (63')
Ruggeri (79')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Lazio
0-2
Atalanta
Zappacosta (23'), Hojlund (65')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
0-2
Lazio
Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lazio
0-0
Atalanta
Pezzella (33'), Zappacosta (39'), Toloi (84')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
2-2
Lazio
Zapata (45+1'), De Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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