We said: Congo 2-0 South Sudan
Off the back of a humiliating defeat against Egypt, Congo will head into Thursday's clash looking to restore some pride and get their AFCON qualifying journey off on the front foot.
While both nations are on a run of six consecutive games without a win, we are backing Ngata's men to come away with all three points in front of their supporters at the Stade Alphonse Massemba-Debat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Congo had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Congo would win this match.