CSKA

5 - 1

Orenburg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.