Eq Guinea4 - 2Guinea-Bissau
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 1 | -2 | 0 |
We said: Equatorial Guinea 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
Both teams gave good accounts of themselves in their respective opening matches, and we are expecting a keenly-contested affair here. That said, we just about tip Equatorial Guinea to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
40.92% ( -0.02) | 29.32% ( -0.08) | 29.76% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.91% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
