We said: Monza 1-2 Roma
The team that have racked up the highest number of shots in Serie A so far - Roma, with 103 - meet the side that have attempted the fewest (Monza, 35), so it could be one-way traffic on Sunday evening.
The Giallorossi are still a work in progress under new management, but their hosts are bereft of confidence and may have to wait until after the international break to finally win a league game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
