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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 at 12.45am UK
Gillette Stadium
Atlanta United

New England
2 - 1
Atlanta

Vrioni (12', 45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rios (90')
Rode Gregersen (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-1 Atlanta United

Although New England come into the game in strong form, Atlanta have proved to be resilient under interim manager Valentino. Additionally, Thursday's match could be a closely fought contest given the potential MLS Cup ramifications for both sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawAtlanta United
39.07% (0.494 0.49) 24.44% (0.363 0.36) 36.48% (-0.85400000000001 -0.85)
Both teams to score 59.76% (-1.416 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (-1.807 -1.81)43.06% (1.812 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (-1.813 -1.81)65.46% (1.817 1.82)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (-0.551 -0.55)22.03% (0.555 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.64% (-0.842 -0.84)55.36% (0.847 0.85)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-1.261 -1.26)23.36% (1.264 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-1.869 -1.87)57.33% (1.873 1.87)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 39.08%
    Atlanta United 36.48%
    Draw 24.44%
New England RevolutionDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.78% (0.485 0.48)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.08%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.4 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.319 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 36.48%

How you voted: New England vs Atlanta

New England Revolution
47.4%
Draw
18.4%
Atlanta United
34.2%
38
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
4-1
New England
Almada (45+2' pen.), Giakoumakis (55' pen., 60', 74')
Gil (83')
Polster (45+1')
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
Jun 1, 2023 12am
Atlanta
3-3
New England
Giakoumakis (56'), Almada (74'), Berry (87')
Pineda (23'), Ibarra (55'), Giakoumakis (81'), Guzan (83'), Gutman (90+2')
Gil (1', 90+3'), Wood (37')
Gonzalez (22'), Buck (52')
Oct 1, 2022 6.30pm
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atlanta
2-2
New England
Almada (15'), Araujo (63')
Gutman (68')
Buksa (30', 55')
McNamara (87'), Polster (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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