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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Subaru Park
Minnesota United

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Gazdag (16'), Carranza (84')
Andres Martinez (64'), Harriel (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dotson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Minnesota United

Both teams have had little problem finding the back of the net of late, so we expect an open and exciting contest here. We can also see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
54.94% (-1.191 -1.19) 22.19% (0.504 0.5) 22.88% (0.695 0.7)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45% (-1.499 -1.5)40.56% (1.508 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (-1.557 -1.56)62.94% (1.565 1.57)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (-0.884 -0.88)14.71% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.1% (-1.727 -1.73)42.9% (1.735 1.74)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)31.26% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)67.6% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 54.94%
    Minnesota United 22.88%
    Draw 22.18%
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.328 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 54.94%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.311 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.147 0.15)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.329 0.33)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 22.88%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Philadelphia
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Burke (35')
Glesnes (41'), Andres Martinez (51')
Lod (23')
Boxall (74'), Lod (79'), Reynoso (85')
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Jun 2, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 19
Minnesota Utd
2-3
Philadelphia
Dotson (28'), Molino (77')
Kallman (17')
Monteiro (18' pen.), Medunjanin (44'), Trusty (86')
Aaronson (45'), Wagner (89'), Gaddis (91'), Blake (93')
Oct 7, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 37
Philadelphia
5-1
Minnesota Utd
Burke (8'), Bedoya (17'), Picault (23', 44'), Ilsinho (79')
Bedoya (56'), Picault (72')
Quintero (54')
Gomez (72'), Bob (75')
Sep 10, 2017 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Philadelphia
Finlay (40')
Sapong (5')
Wijnaldum (38'), Chijioke Onyewu (55'), Pereira Dias Junior (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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