Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.