Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.