Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.