Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Mirren2 - 2Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: St Mirren 1-1 Kilmarnock
Although Kilmarnock have made a poor start to their campaign, their three wins out of four against St Mirren last season could count for something, along with the fact that the home side are also looking for their first win over Killie in 10 games. That being said, it would be a surprise if the away side were to leave St Mirren with all three points in the bag, so a draw could be on the cards here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
41.99% ( -0.02) | 26.9% ( -0) | 31.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
