While the pressure is on Union Berlin to pick up precious points in a bid to avoid the drop, Bayern are merely playing for pride, but Tuchel's men remain firm favourites to come out on top this weekend.
Union Berlin's goal drought will be a concern for Bjelica, but even if they are to breach Bayern's backline, we believe that the visitors will find a way to outscore their opponents en route to claiming maximum points and consolidating second spot for at least another week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
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