Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Monday, January 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, January 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Vitoria de Guimaraes have been in tremendous form of late, and it is hard to bet against them getting the job done here. We are tipping the hosts to secure maximum points, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 14.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
64.55% ( -0.05) | 21% ( 0.04) | 14.45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
