Catanzaro

3 - 1

Carrarese

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.