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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
65.81% ( 0.64) | 19.26% ( -0.29) | 14.92% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.2% ( 0.62) | 39.8% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.84% ( 0.63) | 62.16% ( -0.63) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.71% ( 0.35) | 11.29% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.08% ( 0.75) | 35.92% ( -0.75) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% ( -0.07) | 39.32% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% ( -0.07) | 76.02% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.07% Total : 65.81% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.26% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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