World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
A.O. Shirley Recreation Ground
British Virgin I.0 - 3Guatemala
Chalwell (3'), Beckles (46'), Beckles (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between British Virgin Islands and Guatemala.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: British Virgin I. 1-2 Dominica
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guatemala 6-0 Dominica
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| British Virgin Islands | Draw | Guatemala |
17.24% ( -0.07) | 20.71% ( -0.02) | 62.05% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
