MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 09:03:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League
May 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Cardiff MU

Williams (86'), Davies (90')
Lloyd (63'), Williams (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-2 Bala Town
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-3 Newtown
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
47.22% (-0.465 -0.47) 23.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 28.87% (0.446 0.45)
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (0.21 0.21)43.18% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (0.211 0.21)65.58% (-0.215 -0.22)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (-0.104 -0.1)18.46% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (-0.175 -0.17)49.64% (0.17 0.17)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.419 0.42)28.03% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.53 0.53)63.68% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 47.22%
    Cardiff MU 28.87%
    Draw 23.89%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.87%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')
Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Bradley (4', 37', 58'), Davies (49'), Clarke (69')
Donohue (52' og.)
Craven (32'), H (76')
Craven (81')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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