Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.