Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.68%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
59.68% ( -5.01) | 19.53% ( 1.25) | 20.79% ( 3.76) |
Both teams to score 65.34% ( 2.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.52% ( 0.14) | 30.48% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.23% ( 0.16) | 51.77% ( -0.16) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.88% ( -1.13) | 10.13% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.69% ( -2.66) | 33.32% ( 2.67) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.7% ( 3.69) | 27.3% ( -3.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.26% ( 4.55) | 62.75% ( -4.54) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.83) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.38) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.96) 3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.47) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.74) 4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.32) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.43) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.73) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.51) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.26) Other @ 3.57% Total : 20.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |