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Atlanta United
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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Austin FC

Dallas
2 - 1
Austin

Musa (4'), Ferreira (56')
Illarramendi (8'), Fraser (43'), Ntsabeleng (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Driussi (84' pen.)
Pereira (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 Austin FC

Dallas have been poor this year but both seven of their eight points have come on home soil. The hosts also have an ongoing unbeaten run at home against the visitors, who have struggled on the road as well. We expect a draw here as the home side are not in a great moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawAustin FC
55.17% (-0.302 -0.3) 23.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 21.28% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.4% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.026 0.03)70.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)17.4% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16% (-0.173 -0.17)47.83% (0.17 0.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.256 0.26)37.12% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.254 0.25)73.91% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 55.16%
    Austin FC 21.28%
    Draw 23.54%
DallasDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.28%

How you voted: Dallas vs Austin

Dallas
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Austin FC
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2024 12.30am
Austin
2-1
Dallas
Cascante (54'), Rubio (70')
Wolff (20'), Wolff (24'), Rubio (58'), Cascante (88')
Ansah (51')
Paes (19'), Burgess (90+9')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
1-0
Austin
Burgess (90+7')
Arriola (13'), Farfan (27'), Jimenez (56'), Illarramendi (74')

Pereira (45')
Pereira (67')
Jun 22, 2023 4.07am
Austin
3-0
Dallas
Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')
Wolff (26'), Finlay (85')

Quignon (25')
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Austin
2-1
Dallas
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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