Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 2Napoli
We said: Genoa 0-1 Napoli
Two teams that prioritise caution over free-flowing football could produce a close-fought contest at Marassi, where Genoa have yet to win a league game this season. That wait will go on, as Napoli can eventually break their hosts down and claim the three points that will take them top. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw has a probability of 25.9% and a win for Genoa has a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Genoa win it is 1-0 (7.96%).
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Napoli |
21.4% ( -0.21) | 25.93% ( -0.05) | 52.68% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 45.23% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
