Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.