We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Dallas
Dallas may have enjoyed this fixture in recent seasons, going undefeated with five wins in the last six, but LA Galaxy's start to the campaign has them as the favourites heading into this one, and we expect the hosts to come out triumphant here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.