Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
47.74% ( -0.21) | 21.5% ( 0.1) | 30.76% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 68.87% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.64% ( -0.42) | 30.36% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.38% ( -0.51) | 51.63% ( 0.51) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.58% ( -0.22) | 13.42% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.63% ( -0.45) | 40.37% ( 0.45) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( -0.14) | 20.46% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% ( -0.23) | 52.93% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |