Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Le Havre |
33.09% ( 0.17) | 26.29% ( 0.02) | 40.62% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.17% ( -0.03) | 51.83% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.41% ( -0.02) | 73.59% ( 0.02) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( 0.1) | 29.52% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( 0.12) | 65.54% ( -0.13) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% ( -0.11) | 25.14% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.14% ( -0.16) | 59.85% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |