Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Larbi Zaouli
Madagascar1 - 1Gambia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Comoros
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Madagascar 1-1 Gambia
Madagascar and Gambia have stumbled into the new qualifying campaign and will head into the first of their two consecutive October clashes seeking their first win in Group A. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts at the Stade Larbi Zaouli. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Gambia |
32.1% ( 1.19) | 29.36% ( 0.07) | 38.55% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 43.53% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
