Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
0.2) 
-0.39) 
